Rich Man's Panic

Investors should expect the Dow Jones Industrial Average to fall below 10,000 points, as the current credit crisis is a repeat of the 'Rich Man's Panic' of 1907, Tom Hougaard, chief market strategist from City Index, told CNBC.

A bit of forgotten financial history:

"We've been here before … About one hundred years ago we had an identical credit crunch," Hougaard said, adding that the Dow lost nearly 50 percent in over two years due to the 1907 crisis, which indicates further downside yet to come for today's markets.

The 'Rich Man's Panic' was caused by a severe lack of liquidity as banks pulled back lending and led to numerous bank runs and eventually the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913.

"It's most likely to get worse before it's going to get better … I don't think we're really seeing this capitulation just yet, but we're close," Hougaard said, adding that the S&P 500 could take out the low of the 2002 bear market, which was 944.

I think this is acutally worse than the 1907 panic, even though there are more safty measure in place now than at that time. And I don't see any J.P. Morgan's looming on the horizon...

See also: 5 Lessons About What Happened To The Economy You Didn't Learn From CNBC.

It just gets better and better

WaMu becomes biggest bank to fail in US history.

As the debate over a $700 billion bank bailout rages on in Washington, one of the nation's largest banks — Washington Mutual Inc. — has collapsed under the weight of its enormous bad bets on the mortgage market. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. seized WaMu on Thursday, and then sold the thrift's banking assets to JPMorgan Chase & Co. for $1.9 billion.

Seattle-based WaMu, which was founded in 1889, is the largest bank to fail by far in the country's history. Its $307 billion in assets eclipse the $40 billion of Continental Illinois National Bank, which failed in 1984, and the $32 billion of IndyMac, which the government seized in July.

One positive is that the sale of WaMu's assets to JPMorgan Chase prevents the thrift's collapse from depleting the FDIC's insurance fund. But that detail is likely to give only marginal solace to Americans facing tighter lending and watching their stock portfolios plunge in the wake of the nation's most momentous financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Bailout Talks to Resume After Impasse:

In the Roosevelt Room after the session, the Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., literally bent down on one knee as he pleaded with Ms. Pelosi not to “blow it up” by withdrawing her party’s support for the package over what Ms. Pelosi derided as a Republican betrayal.

“I didn’t know you were Catholic,” Ms. Pelosi said, a wry reference to Mr. Paulson’s kneeling, according to someone who observed the exchange. She went on: “It’s not me blowing this up, it’s the Republicans.”

Mr. Paulson sighed. “I know. I know.”

Hm. Didn't know Pelosi was the Pope.

At the White House, Mr. Bush was holding fast to the approach that Mr. Paulson has championed.

“In case there’s any confusion,” Mr. Fratto, the deputy press secretary, wrote in an e-mail message. “The president supports the core of Secretary Paulson’s plan.”

Which doesn't fill me with the warm and fuzzies. I'm not sure this plan is anything more than a band-aide on a gaping wound. However, something must be done and fast (and a chat with Sweden couldn't hurt). WaMu managed to survive a week until buyout, but there are others out there that won't. Chase most likely can't come to the rescue of any other banks and I'm not sure any other banks can either. International intervention is desperately needed - but if I were Canada, China, Japan I'm not sure I'd be willing to risk my nation's assets in the US right now.

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As if the Financial Tsunami weren't enough, New England is getting hammered with a nor'easter and probably a tropical storm. When it rains, it pours.